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The Daily Dashboard

Confirmation Finally Shows Up: Five Names Clear the Board

CPI Cools to 3.4% as the Dollar Holds Near Its Highs and the Score Slips to 18

Thursday, August 13, 2026

TRADER'S BRIEF

  • July CPI landed soft this morning: headline 3.4% year-over-year, core 2.5%, both a touch below consensus. Futures ticked higher and the September Fed meeting is now priced as a hold, not a cut.

  • The dollar (UUP) closed Wednesday at $28.20, 81.8% of the way up its 52-week range. The Supercycle Score slipped to 18/100 ("Strong Headwind"), down three points from Tuesday's 21.

  • Five of twelve board names confirmed GREEN Wednesday, up from zero on Tuesday: Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Corn, Platinum, and the Nasdaq all cleared both bars (rising, and above their own 14-day average).

  • Copper flipped RED, the only confirmed loser on the board, even with its CCI still a strongly positive +75.3.

  • Oil's move is a supply story, not a demand one: roughly 27% of global crude flow reportedly disrupted through the Strait of Hormuz, plus a Ukrainian drone strike that knocked out Russia's Orsk refinery for up to six months.

With Brad Hoppmann

ALSO FROM GOLDEN CYCLES RESEARCH

Sector Cycle Radar: the free daily read on which S&P sectors are turning

Sector rotation is the equities-side mirror of the dollar-debasement trade this letter tracks in commodities: same cycle, different asset class.

That's the free preview. Below: the full Scoreboard, the Supercycle Score, and today's read.

Educational publication. Not investment advice.

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