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The Daily Dashboard

The Dollar Finally Blinks

Palladium Jumps 4% as the Score Triples to 10

Friday, July 3, 2026 · U.S. markets closed today for the July 4 holiday

TRADER'S BRIEF

  • The Supercycle Score tripled to 10/100, "Strong Headwind," up from Thursday's record-low 3. The June jobs report landed at +57,000 vs 110,000 expected, and the dollar fell -0.53% to 28.34: its first real crack in five weeks, back to 89.8% of its 52-week range.

  • The metals got the catalyst they'd been coiling for: palladium +3.99%, platinum +3.01%, silver +2.69%, gold +2.03%, with live gold extending to roughly 4,193 overnight.

  • The dollar's trend signal flipped red for the first time this run: its 20-day momentum fell from +88 to +39, below its own 14-day average. Price off the ceiling and momentum rolling over, both at once.

  • Paper and hard money split again, the other way: Nasdaq -1.73% with a red signal, S&P -0.13%. The soft print cooled rate-hike odds and growth expectations together.

  • Markets are closed today (July 4 observed). The curve bull-steepened at the front on the print: 2yr -3 bp to 4.14%, 10yr 4.49%, 30yr 4.98%. The next COT report lands Monday, July 6.

With Brad Hoppmann

That's the free preview. Below: the full 12-instrument Scoreboard with trend signals, the Supercycle Score read, the macro and smart-money breakdown, and the Taintsville Take.

Educational publication. Nothing here is individualized investment advice.

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